If you’ve been waiting to see where mortgage rates are heading in 2026, here’s your update. The Bank of Canada just held its overnight rate steady again in December, keeping it at 2.25%.
For anyone thinking of buying, renewing, refinancing, or selling this year, this stability could be a big opportunity. Let’s walk through what this means for you and how to take advantage of it, no matter where you are in your homeownership journey.
What’s a Rate Hold and Why Does It Matter?
A rate hold means the Bank of Canada is pressing pause on interest rate changes. It’s not going up, and it’s not going down yet.
This rate directly impacts variable-rate mortgages, lines of credit, and how lenders set fixed rates. The big takeaway for you is that mortgage rates aren’t rising further, and fixed rates may even come down a bit.
Why Is the Bank Holding the Rate?
Here’s what’s driving this decision:
- Inflation is easing, sitting near 2.2%
- The economy is growing slowly but not shrinking
- Consumer spending is down due to past rate increases
- The housing market is stable and hasn’t overheated
This cautious approach gives the Bank time to monitor inflation without disrupting the economy.
What It Means for You
Whether you’re buying your first home, investing, or renewing a mortgage, here’s how this rate environment affects your plans:
First-Time Buyers
This could be a great time to enter the market. Fixed rates are starting to ease, and stable pricing gives you breathing room to make informed decisions. You can explore homes without pressure from bidding wars or sudden interest rate hikes.
Tip: Get pre-approved with a rate hold now to secure today’s lower fixed rates before the spring market picks up.
Renewing in 2026
If your mortgage is up for renewal, you might be facing higher payments than expected. But the Bank’s rate hold means your renewal rate is more stable, and you have time to shop around for a better deal.
Tip: Don’t auto-renew with your bank. A mortgage broker can compare options and help you reduce your monthly payments.
Upsizing, Downsizing or Investing
A steady rate gives you the confidence to plan. Whether you’re moving to a larger home, selling and relocating, or buying a rental, you can budget more accurately and make smart financial moves.
Tip: Consider 2- or 3-year fixed terms for more flexibility in a changing market.
What’s Coming Next?
Most experts expect the first rate cuts around mid to late 2026. Markets are already factoring this in, and fixed mortgage rates are beginning to trend downward.
| 2026 Policy Interest Rate Announcements |
| January 28th, 2026 |
| March 18th, 2026 |
| April 29th, 2026 |
| June 10th, 2026 |
| July 15th, 2026 |
| September 2nd, 2026 |
| October 28th, 2026 |
| December 9th, 2026 |
How to Stay Ahead in This Market
Here’s how to take advantage of the current environment:
- Lock in a competitive rate now with a 120-day pre-approval
- Compare lenders before renewing your mortgage
- Talk to a broker if you’re unsure which mortgage type fits your plans
- Start planning your next move before buyer demand picks up
Let’s Talk Strategy
No matter your mortgage goal, a stable rate gives you the chance to act with more confidence.
I can help you explore options, run the numbers, and create a mortgage plan that works for your 2026 goals.
📞 Call: 403-315-1961
📧 Email: [email protected]
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